The conspiracy theory of the Great Replacement dates back to the 1973 novel “Le camps des Saints” by Jean Raspall where the “collapse of Western culture due to a migratory tsunami from the Third World” is described. This theory would have been adopted as its own by the white supremacist movement that denounces that “Joe Biden’s immigration policy seeks to replace the white population with non-white immigrants with the unequivocal objective of ending the white primacy of the United States (White Power)”, This will have as collateral effects the increase in hatred of immigrants, xenophobia and attacks on people of color by the followers of the American extreme right. The spokesmen for this theory would be the presenter of Fox News, Tucker Carlson who baptized Biden’s immigration policy as “The Great Replacement” (the Great Replacement), as well as the Republican congressman Brian Babin who stated that “the Democrats are taking advantage of immigration to replace the US electorate with a third world electorate ”, so 40 Republican states are planning to propose legal initiatives to suppress or limit the vote of ethnic, racial and religious minorities by limiting absentee voting and prohibiting voting by mail .
The decline of White Power
According to the US Census Bureau, by 2043 whites will cease to be the majority of the US population and will be displaced by the sum of the Hispanic population that would increase from 53.3 million today to 128.8 million in 2060 and the Afro-American, which would go from the current 41.2 million to the 61.8 million predicted by the projections and according to the Pew Research Center, the middle class (with an annual income of $ 73,400) would no longer be the dominant segment of the population in today’s American society as it suffered a slow but progressive decline in the last 4 decades. Thus, according to Pew, in 1971, the middle class represented 61% of the population (about 80 million inhabitants) while today it would not reach the 50% mark (49.9%) due to the crisis of the subprime, bursting of the real estate bubble and subsequent stock market crash of 2008.
It should be noted that among the Losers of the crisis“In addition to African-Americans and Latinos, there are for the first time young university students in debt and white adults over 45 without university studies and with low-value-added jobs who, after being enlisted in the ranks of unemployment, would have ended up plunged into an explosive circle of depression , alcoholism, drug addiction and suicide after seeing the blackbird vanish from the “American dream”, which would have had as a collateral effect the disaffection of said segments of the white population with the traditional establishment and their enlistment in far-right parties and the number of white losers could increase after the entry into recession of the US economy in 2022 due to the overheating of the economy, runaway inflation and the worsening of the health pandemic.
Worsening of the American social divide?
Aggravation of the health pandemic motivated by the existence of important unvaccinated population segments (51%) and the Great Replacement Theory would be exacerbating the American social fracture that would already be made up of 2 quasi-symmetrical and irreconcilable halves and of what would be a paradigm of the State of Texas, turned into speaker of the White Power. Given Biden’s wear and tear after the Afghanistan fiasco and the possible entry into recession of the economy next year, the Republican victory in the 2022 midterm elections that would anticipate a triumphant return of Trump in the 2024 Presidential elections would not be ruled out.
If confirmed, it will mark a historical milestone as it will represent the end of the sui generis formal American democracy and the beginning of an Orwellian form of government that will draw from the sources of the paternalism of soft dictatorships and will be characterized by the cult of the leader, the use of disinformation and Orwellian surveillance of the non-white population and the strict control of political dissent, in short an autocratic government or a kind of invisible dictatorship supported by solid cohesion strategies (mass manipulation and cult of the leader), elements that converged in the Trump presidency after engulfing the Republican Party.
Trump’s electoral strategy will be based on the technique of manipulation of the masses exposed by Edward L. Bernays in his book “Crystallizing Public Opinion”, in which he unravels the brain mechanisms of the group and the influence of propaganda as a method for unify your thinking. Thus, according to L. Bernays, “the mind of the group does not think, in the strict sense of the word. Instead of thoughts, you have impulses, habits, and emotions. When deciding, your first impulse is usually to follow the example of a leader you trust. ” Thus, his propaganda will be directed not to the individual subject but to the Group in which the personality of the one-dimensional individual is diluted and is wrapped in fragments of false expectations created and common longings that sustain it (return of the White Power) for which he will use the points essentials of the populist ideology: short and xenophobic messages on social networks, cult of the leader and the use of fake news to plunge the population into existential doubt.